268
FXUS63 KLBF 151118
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
618 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered thunderstorms are possible across the northwest
  Sandhills and north central Nebraska this evening and tonight.
  A few storms could be strong to briefly severe, with a threat
  for damaging wind gusts and large hail.

- The combination of hot temperatures and high humidity will
  lead to dangerous heat index values around 100 degrees across
  portions of the area both today  and Saturday.

- Near daily threats for thunderstorms will persist into the
  weekend and even into next week, with some threat for strong
  to severe thunderstorms continuing.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 405 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

An upper level ridge will be centered over southeastern Kansas
this afternoon. A strong thermal ridge will be in place from
the Southern into the Central High Plains. Highs today will be
about 5 degrees warmer than yesterday reaching from 93 to 100
degrees, with the hottest temperatures in southwest Nebraska.
The hot temperatures will combine with dewpoints in the upper
60s to low 70s, to create heat index values around 100 for much
of the area. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for much of
southwest, central and north central Nebraska, and those with
outdoor plans should take necessary precautions.

Late this afternoon, isolated thunderstorms may develop across
the northwest Sandhills and become scattered across north
central Nebraska during the evening hours. Strong to briefly
severe storms will be possible Damaging wind gusts and large
hail will be the primary hazards.

On Saturday, the upper ridge will move slightly eastward over
central Missouri, with the hottest temperatures over central and
eastern Nebraska. Increased dewpoints remain in place and this
keeps heat concerns for eastern portions of north central
Nebraska. A Heat Advisory remain in effect Saturday afternoon
for Boyd, Holt, Garfield and Wheeler Counties where heat index
values exceed 100. Areas to the west will also have heat index
values in the mid to upper 90s. Some threat for strong to
severe storms will also persist Saturday late afternoon and
evening, with a Marginal Risk for all except far southwest
Nebraska.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 405 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

For Sunday through Thursday, high temperatures are likely to
range in the low to mid 90s each day along with dewpoints in the
60s most locations and humid conditions. The upper ridge will
gradually build westward and become expansive and centered over
the Four Corners Regions. Daily chances for thunderstorms exist
each day, mainly during the evening hours. Strong storms are
possible Sunday, across portions of north central Nebraska.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 618 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours at the KLBF and
KVTN terminals. Thunderstorms may affect the KVTN terminal
between 03Z and 08Z, toward the end of the TAF period. Winds
will remain southeasterly at KLBF with gusts to around 15KT this
afternoon. Winds at KVTN will be light southeast at or below
10KT.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ this afternoon to 8 PM
CDT /7 PM MDT/ this evening for NEZ007-010-026>029-037-038-
057>059-069>071.
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Saturday for NEZ007-010-
028-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Roberg

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion