713
FXUS63 KLBF 121127
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
527 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Accumulating snowfall is expected across portions of north
  central Nebraska today into Saturday. The highest
  accumulations are expected to be around 1-3 inches north of a
  Springview to O`Neill line.

- Overnight temperatures remain cold this weekend, with lows
  Sunday night dropping below zero across north central
  Nebraska. During the day, a sharp temperature gradient is
  expected across the region.

- Temperatures begin to warm above average again early week,
  with highs possibly climbing into the 50s and 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 334 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

A low pressure system tracks through the region later today,
bringing potential for winter weather impacts across portions of
north central Nebraska. This afternoon, impacts are expected to
remain fairly minimal, with light snow showers possible throughout
the day. These snow showers may provide some light accumulations,
generally under 1 inch for this afternoon.

Later tonight, as the low tracks slightly further east, it is
expected to bring a more pronounced snow showers across southeast
South Dakota, with some of these showers just far enough south to
track across portions of north central into northeast Nebraska.
Model guidance has been fairly consistent in producing a heavier
band of snow along the South Dakota-Nebraska border, but there is
still a little uncertainty in where the band sets up exactly. If the
heavier band tracks just slightly further south, then new
accumulations could climb between 2-3 inches across portions of
north central Nebraska, mainly north of a Springview to O`Neill
line. Given that this could produce some respectable snowfall rates
overnight, have issues a Winter Weather Advisory for Boyd County
this shift, as this is where confidence in 2-3 inches of snowfall is
greater. Heaviest snowfall is expected between midnight and noon on
Saturday, with snow showers quickly stopping early afternoon.

In addition to the snowfall, temperatures are expected to get quite
cold overnight into Saturday morning. On the cool side of the front,
roughly along and north of a Gordon to Broken Bow line, lows plunge
into the teens and single digits. WIll be keeping an eye on
potential for subzero wind chills across north central Nebraska,
especially where snow is expected to occur. This will also set up a
strong temperature gradient across the region by the afternoon.
Again, on the cool side of the front, highs on Saturday are expected
to struggle to reach the teens. However, on the warm side of the
front, mostly southwest Nebraska, highs are expected to reach the
40s.

This will set up another cold night across the region Saturday night
into Sunday morning. Across north central Nebraska, where fresh
snowfall is anticipated, overnight lows hover around zero and drop
below zero. For these snow covered regions, wind chills may drop to -
10 or colder, especially around sunrise into early Sunday morning.
Further west, although lows will be slightly warmer in the teens,
overnight wind chills will remain quite low, remaining in the low
single digits and in some locations dropping below zero. Moving
into Sunday afternoon, another sharp gradient is expected across the
region, with temperatures ranging from the 20s in north central
Nebraska to potentially the low 50s in the Panhandle.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 334 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

By Sunday evening, upper level ridging is expected to begin tracking
into the region, becoming established across the region by Monday
afternoon. This will bring a return to above average temperatures
across the region through at least mid week. This is expected to
usher in a return of highs in the 50s to 60s early week, which will
contribute to quick snowmelt across north central Nebraska.

By mid week, a shortwave trough tracks across the northern Plains,
which may push a cold front across the region. This should bring a
quick brief cool off on Thursday, however, this is currently
expected to bring highs in the 40s to low 50s. As this shortwave
tracks out, upper level ridging is expected to redevelop, bringing
more above average temperatures and little precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 527 AM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

A surface low pressure system will slowly track through western and
north central Nebraska today and tonight. As this low tracks through
the region, MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected throughout the
effective TAF period, though there may be some very brief breaks in
these prevailing conditions. Winds slowly shift from northerly to
easterly and southeasterly by tomorrow morning. Light snow showers
are observed this morning across northern Nebraska, and these
showers may linger throughout the day. Tonight, these snow showers
are expected to intensify, bringing accumulating snow fall across
portions of north central Nebraska. Periods of greater snowfall may
also bring reduced visibility across the region, though guidance
remains low confidence on exact visibility conditions.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon CST
Saturday for NEZ007.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Richie
LONG TERM...Richie
AVIATION...Richie

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion