522
FXUS63 KLBF 130526
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1126 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain chances increase on Tuesday

- Cooler Temperatures on Wednesday

- Elevated fire weather concerns Tuesday, Thursday and Friday

- Strong winds Thursday and Friday

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 334 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

The main concern in the short term will be precipitation chances
for Tuesday as a weak SW trof moves into the forecast area.
Precipitation type will fall as rain as temperatures will be
well above normal with highs in the 50s and 60 for Tuesday.
Confidence is low in seeing any significant qpf amounts with
most locations that see rainfall likely only seeing a trace as
moisture will be lacking with this system.

There will also be elevated fire weather concerns Tuesday,
confined to mostly southwest and southern Nebraska where min RH
values will be the lowest around 25 percent.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 334 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Temperatures will be cooler on Wednesday after the cold front
passage with the "coolest" temperatures across north central
Nebraska with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. For the western
Sandhills and southwest Nebraska temperatures will still remain
above normal with highs reaching the upper 40s to near 50
degrees. There will be some elevated fire weather concerns again
for Tuesday, mainly across southwest Nebraska where above
normal temperatures continue in combination with the strong
winds and dry conditions.

Another system will drop down from Canada with the low over the
Great Lakes Region tightening sfc pressure gradients across our
forecast area with strong wind gust of 45 mph or higher
expected both Thursday and Friday. Will need to continue to
monitor both days as we approach as there may be a need for
headlines if winds continue to trend up and forecaster confidence
in wind gusts exceeding 45 mph continues to increase.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1125 PM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail across western and north
central Nebraska tonight into the early afternoon hours. A strong
northwesterly low level jet has developed across the region,
bringing widespread LLWS concerns overnight. As better atmospheric
mixing develops by mid morning, these strong winds aloft mix to the
surface, creating gusty northwesterly winds at the surface
throughout the TAF period. Additionally, lower ceilings track into
the region by the afternoon, along with chances for precipitation.
This is expected to introduce MVFR conditions, and potentially brief
IFR conditions, across most of northern Nebraska and the Sandhills.
These conditions continue into the evening and beyond the effective
TAF period.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Richie

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion