669
FXUS63 KLBF 170450
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1050 PM CST Tue Dec 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Another mild day Wednesday. Windy across the north central  with
  southwest winds gusting to 45 mph at times.

- A cold frontal passage Wednesday evening with northwest winds
  up to 45 mph possible.

- High Wind Watch Thursday. Northwest winds may gust to 60 mph
  or higher at times.

- Colder on Thursday, with above normal temperatures returning into
  the weekend and early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 221 PM CST Tue Dec 16 2025

A Clipper System will develop across southern Alberta late
tonight. Mild temperatures aloft tonight, with another strong
inversion developing and morning lows in the upper 20s.

Wednesday, the Clipper System will move into northeast Montana.
A deep trough of surface low pressure will develop from western
South Dakota south along the Colorado Front Range, with surface
pressure as low as 990mb to 995mb. A tight surface pressure
gradient across north central Nebraska and strong winds aloft
support southwest winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45
mph possible. With mainly overcast skies in the afternoon, this
may limit deep mixing. Another mild day, with highs in the upper
50s to near 60.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 221 PM CST Tue Dec 16 2025

Wednesday night, the clipper system will will move into south
central North Dakota. This will drive a cold front quickly south
across the forecast area during the evening. Could see brief
gusts to 50 mph during the cold frontal passage. Also a chance
for light rain across nctrl NE with sprinkles possible as far
south as I80. The light rain across the north should end before
the cold air moves in. Northwest winds increase behind the
front before daybreak, with gusts to 50 mph near the NE/SD
border.

Thursday, A High Wind Watch in effect from 6 AM until 6 PM CST
across all of western and north central Nebraska. With a closed
upper low moving from eastern SD mid morning to northern IA mid
afternoon, a tight H5 and H7 gradient exists for deep mixing.
With H7 winds from 70-80kts, guidance supports frequent gusts
from 40 to 55 kts. Much colder air drops south with highs only
near 30 far northeast zones, with upper 30s to around 40
southwest NE.

Surface high pressure builds in Thursday evening with light
winds. Lows from the upper teens to low 20s. Much warmer Friday
with quasi-zonal flow and westerly H85 winds. Highs range in the
60s across much of the area with near 70 far southwest. A cold
front Friday night, with cooler, yet still above normal highs
Saturday from 45 to around 55, and lows 40s to low 50s Sunday.

A broad upper ridge early next week with highs in the 50s to low
60s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1039 PM CST Tue Dec 16 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. South to
southwest low-level wind shear will become a concern through the
morning hours...as south to southwest winds increase
significantly just off the surface. These conditions will last
through midday. Otherwise south to southwest surface wind gusts
near 45 kts will be possible, especially across northern
Nebraska this afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 221 PM CST Tue Dec 16 2025

Elevated fire weather conditions Wednesday, mainly across north
central Nebraska. Southwest winds may gust to 45 mph at times
with afternoon humidity as low as 30 percent. Cloudy skies in
the afternoon will be a limiting factor.

Elevated fire conditions again Thursday across the entire
forecast area. Although highs will only range from 30 to 40
degrees, strong northwest winds as high as 35 to 45 mph will
gust to 50 to 60 mph, and briefly as high as 70 mph. Afternoon
humidity as low as 30 to 40 percent.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday
afternoon for NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Taylor
FIRE WEATHER...Roberg

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion