274
FXUS63 KLBF 280525
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1125 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Slight chance of light snow across far north central Nebraska
  after midnight tonight

- Chance of snow late Friday night into Saturday

- Winds increase early Saturday, with strongest winds on
  Saturday afternoon for all of western and north central
  Nebraska

- Reinforcing cold air brings much colder temperatures Saturday
  into early next week

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 443 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

The main concern in the short term will be the chance of
precipitation tonight. Mid level FGEN band moves in across portions
of the northern CWA along with a fairly decent ribbon of moisture.
Confidence is moderate that any snowfall that occurs will hold off
until after midnight, with the greatest timeframe generally
after 6am. This will be fairly quick moving, thus expect
accumulations to remain light, with most locations across far
northern Nebraska, generally HWY 83 east and north of HWY 2,
closer to the SD/NE border will only seeing a dusting as
probabilities of seeing a half inch or more is generally 25% or
less. The area of greatest moisture and lift is situated across
extreme north central Nebraska, generally Boyd and Holt
counties, this area has probabilities of 35 to 40 percent of
seeing a half inch or more, thus don`t expect much in the way of
accumulations for Friday morning, but can`t rule out a location
in Holt or Boyd counties seeing up to an inch. Expect most of
the precipitation to be east of the area by early Friday
afternoon with a lull in precipitation through the day Friday,
most locations will remain mostly dry through 00z.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 443 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Attention then turns to the next system moving in Friday
night into Saturday. Some models have started to hint as some
potential for precipitation further south into southwest Nebraska,
however uncertainty remain in how saturated the air in the
lowest levels will be. Bufkit soundings do show early on in the
transition period, generally the late Friday into early Sat, a
little layer of warmer air, generally along I-80 and south,
where there could be the potential for some freezing drizzle.
However confidence is low as the lowest levels near the sfc on
the soundings still show drier air and not a fully saturated
sounding, thus have added the mention into the forecast of some
patchy freezing drizzle with amounts, less than 0.05, that
although not significant could result in slick spots, but again
confidence is fairly low in this occurring, but something to
keep monitoring with future forecast.

As for the snow potential, an area of upslope across the northwest
Sandhills, in the Pine Ridge area, will bring the potential for some
snowfall amounts nearing 1.5 to 2 inches, although there could be
the potential for higher amounts in the area, confidence is medium
that amounts will exceed 3 inches a probabilistic models show
less than a 40 percent chance of this occurring. For areas east
of this area, generally north of HWY 2, amounts will mostly be
under 2 inches for the time period from late Friday through
Saturday afternoon, still continue to see isentropic downglide
moving in fairly quickly which will bring drier air into the
area and keep qpf amounts low. The far north central counties of
Holt and Boyd may see slightly higher amounts as drier air may
not move into the area, but don`t expect amounts to exceed 3
inches as probabilistic models continue to remain consistent in
keeping it at a 40 percent chance or less, greater snowfall
amounts will be east of the forecast area into north east and
eastern Nebraska.

A cold front will move through early Saturday switching winds to the
northwest with winds increasing through the day. Strongest winds
will be in the afternoon with gust of 35 to 40 mph, however there
could be some localized areas that may see wind gusts greater than
40 mph. The combination of winds and any snowfall accumulations in
the northern Sandhills and north central Nebraska could lead to some
patchy blowing snow and some visibility reductions. The cold front
will bring a reinforcing shot of the cold air with low temperatures
dropping into the single digits on Saturday and highs on Sunday in
the 20s, with another night of mostly single digit lows. Wind chills
on both Saturday and Sunday night will reach a few degrees below
zero across the northern Sandhills and north central Nebraska.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1125 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

VFR conditions are expected across western and north central
Nebraska through 15Z Friday. An approaching winter system will
bring lowering ceilings to MVFR after 15Z Friday across
southwest into central Nebraska. A chance for light snow at KVTN
from 09Z until 15Z, though confidence is low on any visibility
reductions and will not include attm. As the winter system
moves into the area Friday evening, a slight chance for light
snow with ceilings MVFR across much of western and north central
Nebraska. Southeast winds will likely remain sustained at or
above 12kts late Friday morning through the afternoon with gusts
to 25kts across northern Nebraska including KVTN. Southeast
winds quickly diminish Friday evening.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Roberg

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion